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...looked at a scenario in which each country used 50 Hiroshima-sized weapons, which they are believed to have in their arsenals. That's enough firepower to kill around 20 million people on the ground. We were surprised that the amount of smoke produced by these explosions would block out sunlight, cool the planet, and produce climate change unprecedented in recorded human history...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Regional Nuclear War and the Environment | 1/22/2009 | See Source »

...Scenario 3: The Guns Go Silent Without a Formal Truce If the offensive cannot deal Hamas a death blow, Israel may see benefit in holding its fire, in line with the first phase of the Egyptian plan but not necessarily concluding a comprehensive cease-fire. It would simply maintain the halt to hostilities and even withdraw its forces on an open-ended basis. Israeli leaders saw Operation Cast Lead as an opportunity to restore Israel's "deterrent" power, which it believed had been damaged when it was fought to a draw by Hizballah in Lebanon in 2006. But the Gaza...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: How the Gaza War Could End: Three Scenarios | 1/16/2009 | See Source »

...Scenario 1: Regime Change Given Israel's long-term goal of ousting Hamas in Gaza, some key military and political leaders have urged that it expand the goals of its current operation and use its momentum to take control of Gaza City and decapitate Hamas. Most vocal in advocating this option is Likud leader Benjamin Netanyahu, the hawkish front runner in the race for Prime Minister, who will portray any outcome that leaves Hamas intact in Gaza as a failure - bad news for his chief rivals, Defense Minister Ehud Barak and Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: How the Gaza War Could End: Three Scenarios | 1/16/2009 | See Source »

...Scenario 2: Long-Term Cease-Fire Israel has insisted that a cease-fire be "sustainable" by ensuring that Hamas is unable to rearm itself. An actual disarming of Hamas' current militias is unlikely without a full-scale reoccupation of Gaza, which would involve tens of thousands more Israeli troops over many months. Anything less would leave Hamas as the dominant security presence inside Gaza. So Israel's priority will be to choke off the supply of rockets and mortar shells, which have been smuggled through tunnels from Gaza and fired at Israel. The Israelis want Egypt to police those tunnels...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: How the Gaza War Could End: Three Scenarios | 1/16/2009 | See Source »

...awful lot of unemployed workers and equipment back to work ASAP. As Christina Romer, an expert on the Depression who will chair Obama's Council of Economic Advisers, warns in a new YouTube video, we can't "let that vicious cycle go all the way to the nightmare scenario." In fact, many Keynesian liberals have been dismissing the Obama proposal as overly timid, and Obama has suggested it could grow...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: How to Spend a Trillion Dollars | 1/15/2009 | See Source »

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