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...People's Liberation Movement (SPLM). Tensions have been building for months. In a report on the region in March, the International Crisis Group (ICG) warned the situation "could quickly become national... It is uncertain whether the SPLM-NCP [National Congress Party, which dominates the north] partnership could survive a scenario in which the two parties supported their respective Abyei allies...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Civil War Threatens Sudan, Again | 5/30/2008 | See Source »

...Dubai, Abu Dhabi, Qatar and Bahrain into glittering hubs for business, travel and culture. Still, there are plenty of threats that could spoil this party. For a start, there are the wildcard geopolitical risks that can never be ruled out in a region plagued by instability. In one nightmare scenario, Tehran would respond to a U.S. strike on Iran's nuclear program by lobbing missiles at cities in Gulf states like Qatar that are closely allied with Washington; in another, a terrorist group such as al-Qaeda would target Dubai, scaring off the tourists and white-collar expats helping...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Giddy Heights: Boom in the Gulf | 5/29/2008 | See Source »

...Michigan, where neither Obama nor Edwards was on the ballot when Clinton won 55% of the vote, she would claim 73 of the state's delegates, with the rest of the delegation, reflecting the 40% that voted "uncommitted," free to pick their own candidate. This scenario would put Clinton within striking distance of Obama, with 1,677 pledged delegates to his 1,716, and also bolster her argument to superdelegates that she is the voters' first choice, since Clinton would overtake Obama in the popular vote if the two states' votes were counted in full...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Dems' Endgame: Florida, Michigan | 5/29/2008 | See Source »

...committee would give Clinton 69 delegates and Obama 59, a compromise that Clinton vehemently opposes. The committee, meanwhile, seems to be moving toward a solution that would seat roughly half of each delegation (which is how the Republicans punished Florida and Michigan for moving their contests up). Under that scenario, which DNC lawyers have said is the party's only real recourse, Clinton would gain the larger share of delegates, but not nearly enough to approach Obama...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Dems' Endgame: Florida, Michigan | 5/29/2008 | See Source »

...Hill fear that Bush may be planning to bomb Iran between November and January, after the political cost goes down and when he may feel he is doing his successor a favor. Dan Senor, former military spokesman and foreign policy advisor to the Bush Administration, says he finds that scenario highly unlikely, because he believes it would provoke numerous resignations from the intelligence community and the armed services, both of which groups feel burned from the Iraq experience. Senor may be right, but there are enough signs echoing back from abroad, to keep observers at home and overseas guessing...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Bombing Iran: The Clamor Persists | 5/22/2008 | See Source »

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