Word: secessionist
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Making good on Carter's vow in the event of a showdown in the gulf could be a logistical nightmare. Administration strategists are concentrating on dealing with four possible emergencies. Three are based on the Afghanistan experience-"invitations" to Moscow by secessionist Azerbaijanis in northwestern Iran, or by Baluchis in southeastern Iran, or by an embattled leftist government in Tehran that eventually might take over from the mullahs. The fourth possibility is a Soviet thrust into Pakistan, under the pretext of hot pursuit of Afghan rebels. In each case, the U.S. would have to contend with an overwhelming Soviet...
...secessionist movement is headed by Jimmy Stevens, 58, who drove bulldozers before emerging as a separatist leader of Espiritu Santo. "Moli" (chief), as his supporters call Stevens, was elected Chief Minister of Vemarana after the takeover. Holding court in a former dance school that now bears the pidgin-English sign VEMARANA OFIS, he told TIME Correspondent John Dunn: "Time is not important here. We will be open for business in a few days. We want to be free to make our own decisions, to run our own economy and have a picnic when we feel like having...
...into Afghanistan and Pakistan. Successful secessionist movements could tear away parts of some of those countries as well as of Iran, leaving a number of weak new countries ? the kind that usually tumble into social and economic chaos ? and dismembered older ones. All might be sub to penetration. Anarchy in Iran could also trigger a conflict with its uneasy neighbor, Iraq, which shelled border areas of Iran three weeks ago. The geopolitical stakes there would be so great that the superpowers would be sorely tempted to intervene...
...Because it is something which is necessary for our own peculiar situation. We are, right now, trying to liquidate the secessionist movement in Mindanao. While we are in the process, therefore, I believe that the national government should be armed with this power. We've just received hard evidence to indicate a tie-up between the New People's Army with the Moro National Liberation Front [the Muslim separatist movement]. [In addition], the economic crisis came up. Since the economic crisis has dimensions that we cannot actually now determine, I would rather play safe. I may be blamed...
That situation could change drastically if Cuban troops were to be drawn into the civil war between the Ethiopian regime of Mengistu Haile Mariam and the well-armed secessionist rebels of Eritrea, or if Cuban units should find themselves in pitched battles against South African or Rhodesian army units. If the amount of Cuban blood spilled in Africa should increase dramatically, Castro might have to resort to officially conscripting soldiers for African duty. Privately, a number of Cuban officials admit that their routing of the Somali invaders of Ethiopia last spring was a walkover, but that there are no more...