Word: sentimentals
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...trade deficit number, expected to be on the rise again, that has very little to do with anything you should care about right now. And at 10:00 a.m., or whenever Reuters leaks it to the rest of us, we get the University of Michigan?s measure of consumer sentiment...
...consumer sentiment - especially at the end of a week of business-side stats - always picks up a little earth-shaking power in advance of a Fed meeting, and next Tuesday?s smart-money pick of a quarter-point cut is actually beginning to feel pretty uncertain. If that bet changes, we could see some action this week. If not, well, it?s a Friday afternoon in August - what did you expect...
...problem; indeed, it had been reported earlier in the week that it held off on a more robust strike in the belief that its benefits would not outweigh the negative political fallout in the Arab world. The latest raids are almost certain to amplify the already rampant anti-American sentiment on the streets of even the most pro-Western Arab capitals, and that's good news for the likes of Saddam and Osama Bin Laden...
...percent. But whatever it is, remember that 0.5 percent of that comes form the shrinking trade deficit - which is because of declining U.S. consumer demand for imports rather than anything encouraging like freer trade. Also Friday, the University of Michigan reports its second-half-of-June consumer sentiment numbers to its paying customers at 9:45 a.m. Somebody usually leaks it to the rest...
...labor market, the Labor Department serves weekly unemployment claims, the Employment Cost Index and Help-Wanted Index on Thursday. But first figure out which way to read unemployment indicators - low, it's an inflation worry; high, it's a consumer-sentiment risk...