Word: shakeouts
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...predict that private equity will go through a shakeout similar to what we've seen in the housing market. How does that analogy work? Private-equity firms used the same cheap credit that caused the housing bubble to buy companies. There are about 100 of these firms - KKR, Blackstone and Carlyle are some of the bigger ones - and they buy a company the same way we would buy a house. Put down about 20% and borrow about 80%. The big difference is, the company they're buying borrows the 80%, so they're the ones responsible for repayment. These loans...
...economic recession may be ending but the independent film industry's shakeout continues to roll, as we were recently reminded by Disney's October decision to gut its Miramax division, cutting staff by more than...
...will the indie-film shakeout ultimately play out? Given falling revenue, poor economics and a dearth of new indie projects, financial investors will likely limit commitments to commercially viable films - those offering strong potential for ancillary sales in video games and merchandise. That means more projects directed at the end market for those products - teens. But for hard-core indie investors, those who love taking risks on creative projects and look to hedge their bets by investing across many films, that game is over for now. And indie fans will soon feel...
...Dollar Tree moving too fast? If there's one lesson from the great retail shakeout of the past year, it's that America has too many stores. Yet Dollar Tree plans to open about 80 more stores by end of year, and foresees growing to between 5,000 and 7,000 stores down the road. But will an extreme discounter like Dollar Tree suffer when the economic winds move against you? "I do think Dollar Tree is a beneficiary of people trading down," says Laura Champine, an analyst at Cowen & Co. "When the economy recovers, I believe its growth will...
...scandals seem to weaken his moral authority. In some ways, Berlusconi is the Italian political equivalent of Bank of America or AIG: he is simply too big to fail. Too many who have carved out their slice of power would risk losing it all in the monumental shakeout that would follow Berlusconi's exit from politics. And even in that unlikely scenario, the Prime Minister would have his ownership of the nation's major private television networks to fall back on. Considering all of that, Berlusconi could probably get away with just brushing off the salacious stories that follow...