Word: shifting
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...Democrat since Bill Clinton. Obama also cut in half the Republican advantage among Protestants. And he made significant gains among regular worship attenders. Voters who attend religious services most frequently are still most likely to cast ballots for Republicans. But Obama won 44% of their votes, a 19-point shift in the category that, after the last presidential contest, inspired pundits to diagnose the existence of a "God gap." Voters who worship at least once a month preferred Obama 53% to McCain...
...many Evangelicals, in a campaign in which Democrats engaged in a record level of outreach to Evangelicals, and at a time when the Evangelical community is expanding its consciousness to focus on traditionally Democratic issues like the environment and poverty, this would have been the year for a real shift of support to take place. So why didn't that happen...
...national average among white Evangelicals and chipped away at the GOP's 2004 advantage. In Michigan, where the state party began building relationships with social conservatives in the western half of the state during the 2006 election cycle, Obama won 33% of the white Evangelical vote, a 12-point shift from 2004. The campaign's Evangelical outreach coordinator spent the last weeks of the race in tightly-contested Indiana, with impressive results - 30% of the state's white Evangelicals voted for Obama (a 14-point gain), and the Democrat split the Catholic vote with McCain (a 13-point gain...
...where Kerry won a measly 13% of the white Evangelical vote in 2004, proved relatively fertile ground. The Obama camp reached out to moderate Evangelicals in Dobson's base of Colorado Springs, bringing in popular Christian author Donald Miller as a campaign surrogate. The result was a 29-point shift in the vote on Election Day for Obama. By contrast, in a state like Iowa, where the campaign had little to no religious outreach presence, the white Evangelical vote was unchanged...
...that points to the second reason Evangelicals didn't shift in greater numbers: scope. The small gains that Obama made in the battleground states targeted by his religious outreach staff were the results of just six weeks of activity leading up to the election. At the beginning of the summer, after Obama clinched the Democratic nomination, his campaign announced an ambitious plan to engage young religious voters at Christian music festivals, at house parties, and through Evangelical and Catholic surrogates. But by the time fall arrived, the effort - originally called the Joshua Generation - had still not materialized. Finally...