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...policy and administration at George Washington University, figures that in normal times, budget projections a couple of years out tend to be pretty reliable, at five years less so and at 10 years not much at all. "But these aren't normal times," he says. "In recessions, even the short-term numbers aren't very good, because a lot of the factors that go into them are based on assumptions that the economy will behave within some narrow band of reality, and the way it behaves is outside of that band." (Read "Advice from an Economist...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why Are Economists So Bad at Forecasting? | 7/17/2009 | See Source »

...laws to regulate the industry will be written on Capitol Hill. Officials have also begun to worry aloud whether the Wall Street firms learned anything from the catastrophic financial crisis that was largely of their making or whether they are now returning to the old business of making short-term profits that create long-term risks...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Goldman's Sudden Boom Could Be a Bust for Obama | 7/17/2009 | See Source »

...Indeed, analysts who follow a number of different industries rushed out reports about how CIT would affect the companies they watch. The biggest areas of concern were for the insurers that hold a large amount of CIT debt and retailers, which rely heavily on the type of short-term lending that CIT provides. The consensus was that CIT's failure alone was not likely to bring down any other firm...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: In CIT Woes, Some See Restart of Financial Crisis | 7/16/2009 | See Source »

...free market through selling state-owned businesses, loosening regulations on foreign direct investment, and creating a plan to reduce the deficit. India achieved 6.7 percent growth this past fiscal year only on the back of intensive government spending by the previous Congress-led coalition. Public-sector spending provides a short-term stimulus, but a more open economy is necessary for sustainable growth...

Author: By Ravi N. Mulani | Title: A Budget to Forget | 7/15/2009 | See Source »

...seem to have suffered only a glancing blow. The word redecoupling is beginning to appear in the media. Nandan Nilekani, who is about to leave the chairmanship of Indian tech company Infosys for a government post, speaks of "tactical coupling" and "strategic decoupling." That is, nobody could escape the short-term effects of a global crisis, but the basic BIC growth story still holds. (See pictures of China doing business in Africa...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Let Someone Else Buy | 7/13/2009 | See Source »

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