Word: silos
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Dates: during 1980-1989
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...PROBLEM. For every farmer unable to pay his debts, three or four others can actually buy more acreage. Debt delinquencies are lower, but so is the price of farmland, except in areas where developers want in. The entire farm economy operates as if in a vast container, a silo; and since places like Iowa rely so heavily on Washington subsidies, you can be sure that for the near future, a small improvement is as good as life will...
Stragetic Nuclear Forces. The critical question, says Hyland, is whether Gorbachev is willing "to recognize something along the lines of our version of stability." That would require the Soviets to cut their huge arsenal of silo-busting warheads, which pose a first-strike threat that could pre-empt the ability of the U.S. to retaliate. Some Soviet officials say they have come to accept the U.S. concepts of parity and are willing to go further by cutting back to a level of "minimal deterrence." That would involve each side keeping only enough weapons to assure that it could retaliate credibly...
...revised. A significant cut in ICBMs and medium-range and battlefield missiles, and other agreements on disarmament, should be negotiated as soon as possible, independently of SDI, in accordance with the lines of the understanding laid out in Reykjavik ((presumably with the additional feature of priority cuts in silo-based MIRVed ICBMs)). I believe that a compromise on SDI can be reached later. In this way the dangerous deadlock in the negotiations could be overcome. I shall try to analyze the ideas that led to the package approach and demonstrate their unsoundness. I shall also attempt to demonstrate the unsoundness...
...forces insisting on SDI deployment nevertheless were to prevail, the U.S.S.R. would not be left in a hopeless position. It could bring to a halt any reduction of its strategic forces and begin accelerated construction of mobile strategic missiles and cruise missiles, which would thus replace vulnerable silo-based missiles. As I have noted, such substitution is desirable for other reasons...
...levels, combined with inevitable deployment of SDI, or abandonment of the package approach, which would permit an escape from the Reykjavik deadlock. Of course, in the worst case ((SDI deployment)), which I do not believe likely, a new round of the arms race would begin with the U.S.S.R. replacing silo-based missiles with mobile ones. Even in that event, I do not believe that the strategic position of the U.S.S.R. and the stability of the international situation would be different from the situation that would be the case if the package approach were maintained (and the Soviet Union's political...