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...clear winner, Iraq's political leaders are squaring up for a fight that could have dire consequences for the country's security situation. Last week's media reports hailing Iyad Allawi as the election victor were a little premature: the former U.S.-installed Prime Minister's secular nationalist slate may have finished narrowly ahead of its nearest rival, but its share of the vote translates into only 91 seats in the 325-seat legislature, where 163 seats is the magic number needed to form a government. And while Allawi's first-place finish in the poll theoretically puts...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Iraq's Election: Can This Deadlock Be Broken? | 3/31/2010 | See Source »

...could prevent Allawi from having first bite at forming a new government. The constitution requires that the "bloc" with the most seats be given 30 days to form a ruling coalition, but in response to al-Maliki's inquiry, the court has ruled that bloc doesn't mean electoral slate, but rather the alliances as they present themselves when the parliament is seated, toward the end of April. If al-Maliki can cut deals to give him a bigger coalition by then, he'll get first bite at forming a government. (See TIME's photo-essay "Iraq Prepares to Vote...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Iraq's Election: Can This Deadlock Be Broken? | 3/31/2010 | See Source »

...will al-Maliki be unhappy about the efforts of others to trim Allawi's advantage before then. The Justice and Accountability (formerly De-Baathification) Commission, which operates under the guidance of Ahmed Chalabi - the onetime Pentagon favorite now running on the Iran-backed Iraqi National Alliance (INA) slate - announced on Tuesday its intention to demand that the Supreme Court disqualify as ineligible three candidates on Allawi's list because of alleged ties to the former regime of Saddam Hussein. If the court upholds this challenge - and it has sympathetically received the commission's previous effort to expel Sunni candidates...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Iraq's Election: Can This Deadlock Be Broken? | 3/31/2010 | See Source »

...Despite the secular-nationalist orientation of both al-Maliki's and Allawi's slates, the election results showed a familiar sectarian split. Most Sunnis voted for Allawi's Iraqiya list, while the Shi'ite vote was split between al-Maliki's State of Law slate and that of the INA, representing the Shi'ite Islamist parties that had put al-Maliki in power. If al-Maliki could mend the rift in the Shi'ite vote and cut a deal with the INA (which won 70 seats), that combination alone would put him just four seats shy of a majority...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Iraq's Election: Can This Deadlock Be Broken? | 3/31/2010 | See Source »

...politics. The results of the general election announced Friday, March 26, show that Allawi's secular Iraqiya block has won 91 seats in the 325-seat Iraqi parliament - well short of a majority, but two more than its nearest rival, Prime Minister Nouri al-Maliki's State of Law slate...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: After Win, Will Former U.S. Front Man Rule in Iraq? | 3/26/2010 | See Source »

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