Word: slowdown
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There are those who fret that current troubles in real estate will lead to an economic slowdown, maybe a recession. Then there's Peter Schiff. "Our standard of living is going to decline," the Connecticut stockbroker confidently declares. "There's no way around it, and it has just started...
...enlightened Beijing technocrats may be or how thoughtfully new regulations may read, if local governments can do whatever they want, all is lost. Pan Yue, deputy head of the State Environmental Protection Administration (SEPA), regularly warns of looming environmental catastrophe. And yet there is no sign of any slowdown in the tide of pollution engulfing the country. Despite Beijing's condemnation of a huge chemical spill that left 4 million residents of the city of Harbin with no running water in November 2005, Pan recently revealed that over the next year, there were no fewer than 130 chemical spills around...
...That helps to explain why, for example, Japan's stock index took such a hit on Feb. 28 after approaching a seven-year high earlier in the week. Toyota, Sony et al would surely feel it if a slowdown in the U.S. proves sharper than expected. But will it? On the same day that the dismal durable-goods number came out, a monthly survey of U.S. consumer confidence rose unexpectedly, and so did the latest figures for existing U.S. home sales. In other words, a painful U.S. slowdown is not, by any means, a given. And for those...
...That helps to explain why, for example, Japan's stock index took such a hit on Feb. 28 after approaching a seven-year high earlier in the week. Toyota, Sony et al would surely feel it if a slowdown in the U.S. proves sharper than expected. But will it? On the same day that the dismal durable goods number came out, a monthly survey of U.S. consumer confidence rose unexpectedly, and so did the latest figures for existing U.S. home sales. In other words, a painful U.S. slowdown is not, by any means, a given. And for those...
...Alan Greenspan, Bernanke's august predecessor, this week painted a gloomier picture, predicting a slowdown late in 2007. Speaking via satellite link to a business conference in Hong Kong, he declared, "When you get this far away from [the last] recession, invariably forces build up for the next recession, and indeed we are beginning to see that sign." He added: "For example in the U.S., profit margins ... have begun to stabilize, which is an early sign we are in the later stages of a cycle...