Word: slowdowns
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...Something is about to change - but almost certainly for the worse. Higher labor costs, a strengthening Chinese currency and soaring raw-materials prices are bad enough. Now, a slowdown in global growth and a likely full-blown recession in the U.S. are about to stress-test China's manufacturing sector like never before - and could result in the shuttering of thousands of factories and cost hundreds of thousands of workers their jobs. Makers of low-end goods are already suffering. The Guangdong city of Huidong was home to 3,000 shoe factories at the beginning of 2007, but as many...
...sweat. America buys about 19% of China's $90 billion in monthly exports. As the U.S. economy began to falter in late 2007, China's torrid export growth rate - for the last several years running at an annual rate of 20% or higher - was showing unmistakable signs of a slowdown. In February, it plummeted to just 6.5%, compared with nearly 20% growth expected by economists. Exporters suffered major disruptions from power outages and transportation delays caused by that month's heavy snowstorms, but sluggish U.S. demand was also to blame. In February, the value of U.S.-bound goods showed...
...output in recent years because the global economy has been on a tear. The 2004-07 period saw the second strongest bout of global growth on record - which translated into strong demand for cheap Chinese-made products. But this era may be ending. Most economists are predicting a significant slowdown in worldwide GDP growth in 2008. This slowdown, predicts Lehman Brothers economist Sun Ming-chun, will prove to be the "unmasking of [manufacturing] overcapacity in China." Says Li of the Asia Footwear Association: "The cake is only so big, and when you have too many people trying...
...Shimpi admits a meltdown or even a slowdown in the CDS market would affect the amount and cost of liquidity in the market. However, he dismisses concerns that municipalities and others seeking capital could be left in the dust. "Even if the U.S. takes a hit, there are other markets in the world that have different dynamics, and capital flows are international," he said...
...clear that even these aggressive actions will be sufficient to avoid a major U.S. slowdown or recession, given the deadweight of the sinking housing market. With the standard playbook and tools like the Taylor Rule less relevant to the immediate challenges at hand, central bankers are finding themselves looking at stock and bond markets to help them decide what to do. The markets in turn are looking back at central banks, trying to guess how monetary policy will affect asset prices. It reminds us of the early Ozzy Osbourne lyrics: "You, looking at me, looking at you .../ I know...