Word: slowdowns
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...inflation, higher interest rates and slower spending could whip up what economist David Wyss calls "a perfect storm" that could turn the soft landing the Federal Reserve is trying to engineer into an outright recession sometime next year. Wyss, chief economist for Standard & Poor's, still expects a gentle slowdown that would lower growth from nearly 5% at present to a more sustainable 3.5% in 2001. But he also sees a 1 in 4 chance of a slump. "Bad things," he warns, "can happen to new economies...
...bags, he calmly flew to Boston for a long-scheduled session with fellow bankers. Greenspan believes U.S. economic fundamentals are solid. Fed vice chairman Roger Ferguson told TIME, "The economy is cooling from its unsustainable pace of earlier this year, but recent data certainly don't suggest a dangerous slowdown...
...Wall Street's wild day has everybody guessing. One thing seems clear, though: Even if it's a bottom, don't expect the good times to return just yet. With the economic-minded fretting about the winter and spring - Slowdown? Inflation? Both? - and the policy-minded starting to think seriously about the election, every earnings report is a tea leaf and every tumble a bargain hunt. The tentative consensus from the CNBC crowd is that with trading volume running higher on the sell-off than on the recovery, this thing may indeed be a bottom, but it's a bottom...
...Yahoo. After the end-of-session bell, the tech bellwether is expected by some to disappoint with its earnings report, thanks to a slowdown in the dot-com advertising sector. (Less new dot-coms these days, which means less new dot-com ad men bidding for space on prime-time portal Yahoo.) If Yahoo - which is unveiling some new voice-based services (read: potential revenue streams) Tuesday afternoon, possibly as a means of softening the blow for the earnings news - can please the Street, good vibrations for the dot-commerce sector could follow. If Yahoo disappoints, it's one more...
...know why they're anxious: High oil prices and high interest rates make Europe a dull boy - one who doesn't buy as many Macs, Dells, Gateways or the chips that go into them as those companies and their investors are used to. There's fretting about the U.S. slowdown being too slow and too down, and whether a tightening Greenspan got ambushed by crude-oil prices...