Word: slowdowns
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...reckoning. There are now 6 billion people on Earth. The Pollyannas say the more the merrier; the Cassandras say that is already twice as many as can be supported in middle-class comfort, and the world is running out of arable land and fresh water. Despite a recent slowdown in the growth rate, the U.N. Population Division expects the world population to reach 9.5 billion by the year...
...immediately reflected in the market, which took profits from Wednesday?s record close). "This takes even more pressure off the Fed to raise rates again anytime soon; the economy seems to be slowing down just as it hoped." Thursday?s report isn?t a guarantee, though. Most of the slowdown was due to the trade deficit; imports aren?t counted in the GDP, although they do show up in the overall economy when cash-loaded consumers head to the mall. So inflation could still be lurking in the heart of the U.S. economy ?- but it?s not putting much fear...
Disney shareholders could sure use the boost that a Net tracking stock would bring. Weakened home-video sales and a slowdown in merchandise licensing in the midst of Star Wars mania have hurt earnings; Disney stock is down 25% from its 52-week high. High costs for NFL games for ABC and start-ups such as Animal Kingdom and the Disney Cruise Lines have all pinched the bottom line...
...there is a deeper reason that the Louima case doesn't necessarily portend a slowdown in attempts to cover up police brutality. Call it the white wall of silence--the implicit bargain that Giuliani, like the mayors of many cities, has made with his mostly white core political supporters. They reckon that voters will tolerate heavy-handed police tactics as long as they don't have to see them; that most nonwhites, especially young males, are considered suspect, and that wholesale violations of their civil liberties are an acceptable price to pay for a drop in the crime rate. That...
...like the jump in the Consumer Price Index that's expected tomorrow -- is mostly because the oil-production cuts that OPEC instituted in March have only now kicked in. Things should level off again in May." But -- and there's always one where economic forecasting is concerned -- if that slowdown doesn't happen, the Asian bullet that Rubin/Greenspan/Summers dodged last winter may well get them on the ricochet. "If the recovery in the crisis economies continues," says Baumohl, "the U.S. will start to see real inflationary pressure toward the end of 1999." Then we'll see what Larry Summers...