Word: slowdowns
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According to kinesiologist Steven Bray at McMaster University in Ontario, the slowdown occurs for many of us at around the time we start college. Bray followed 127 subjects and found that on the whole, first-year college students participate in significantly less exercise than they did just one year before. Academic demands and lack of organized sports are certainly part of the problem. A bigger part may be a curious human tendency to look at life changes as an occasion to blow up the old rules and not create new ones in their place. This is especially so when...
...luxury brands use the runway to leverage their image and then optimize profitability with leather goods. In Gucci's case, leather goods make up more than 50% of profits, the majority of those from handbags. Financially, the strategy is working. "They are performing extremely well, despite the slowdown of the general consumer market," says luxury analyst Yasuhiro Yamaguchi of UBS in London. "Coach, Tiffany and Burberry are all saying they've started to see slowdown, but Gucci is resisting the cyclical downturn and delivering double-digit growth...
...whether we're going to have a soft landing or a hard landing in the U.S. but how hard the landing is going to be," says Nouriel Roubini, professor of economics at New York University. He sees a sharp, possibly year-long U.S. recession and a global slowdown. Despite Asia's torrid growth, consumers in China and India accounted for only $1.6 billion of the world's spending last year, a tiny fraction of the $9.5 trillion spent by Americans, according to Stephen Roach, head of Morgan Stanley's business in Asia. It's impossible to pull U.S. spending back...
Credit markets are one worry; another is whether the rest of the world will be able to breeze along despite the U.S. slowdown. There are lots of signs that it'll be just fine, thanks. For the emerging economies of Asia, Africa and Latin America, these past five years have seen the best growth run in memory, and so far signs of slowdown outside the U.S. and Europe are few. India and China are posting astonishing growth numbers, while economies of countries from Africa to Latin America that export raw materials, like oil from Nigeria and copper from Chile, have...
...lesson here may be that there is no solution to the problems of the U.S. economy that won't involve some pain. One interesting dynamic that will play out over the next few years is that some people and some countries are in far better shape to weather a slowdown than others. Right now, the U.S. isn't one of them: with our trade deficits and federal budget deficits, we may be more vulnerable than other economies to the effects of a broad global downturn. And so whatever happens in the markets this year, you probably will not feel...