Word: sonnenfeldt
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...that the Kremlin's many frustrations will make either its present or its future leaders any easier for the U.S. to deal with. The effect could be exactly the opposite. In any case, the U.S. has little leverage that it can exert. Speaking of the Soviet leadership jockeying, Helmut Sonnenfeldt, a Kremlinologist at Washington's Brookings Institution, says bluntly, "There is nothing the U.S. can do about this...
...Helmut Sonnenfeldt, a former aide of Henry Kissinger's who is now at the Brookings Institution, believes that the core questions of nuclear-arms control will have to await a number of other developments. Before it would be prudent for the U.S. to make any adjustments in its negotiating positions in INF or START, he says, the Soviets will have to show flexibility in the talks between NATO and the Warsaw Pact on conventional forces that are due to resume in Vienna next month. They should agree to "confidence-building measures," like the ongoing negotiations over upgrading the Moscow...
...Sonnenfeldt expects Reagan's visit to China in April to give the Kremlin an added incentive to seek better ties with the U.S. Since Richard Nixon's trip to China in 1972, the U.S. has had more leverage with Moscow when Washington's connection with Peking was strong. But partly because of the Reagan Administration's early arms sales to Taiwan, the Sino-American leg of the triangular relationship has been shaky...
...European Community conducts 60% of the industrialized world's East-West commerce and that such trade "provides stability for European economies and thus strengthens the alliance." There was no proof, he argued, that East-West trade had "any impact" on Soviet decision making. That assertion was contested by Sonnenfeldt, who defended the U.S. Administration's position that "the Western industrialized countries who also happen to be allies in the security sense cannot give up at least trying to think about the implications of economic relations with the Soviet Union...
...nuclear missiles under independent French and British control be counted alongside those of the U.S. If the proposal were accepted, the U.S. would in effect forgo its deployment plans while allowing the Soviets to keep many of their SS-20s in place. As former State Department Counsellor Helmut Sonnenfeldt told participants at TIME'S Atlantic Alliance Conference last week: "The problem of the British and French forces is probably the single most difficult political and psychological issue we face in the West...