Word: starter
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Harvard (15-2 overall, 5-1 EIVA) is itching to prove that it can win with its revamped line-up, which is without the services of junior starter Albert Kim (who is studying for graduate school entrance exams...
...superdelegates flock to his banner. Finally, one of the early candidates who obviously is not going to make it -- or who has already dropped out -- swings a deal. In return, perhaps, for the vice presidential nomination, he urges delegates still pledged to him to vote for the late starter. There already are rumors of just such a budding deal between Cuomo and Kerrey...
There are also stratagems for a late starter to use in picking up delegates from states where he is not on the ballot. One is to win over delegates who are officially running as uncommitted. Cuomo's admirers have already entered a technically uncommitted but actually pro-Cuomo slate in the Illinois primary March 17. The most far-out scenario is a postprimary draft; it seems so reminiscent of the boss-ridden days as to be almost unimaginable...
...other scenarios face obstacles that seem only marginally more surmountable. Most political consultants, media advisers, pollsters and other experts qualified to help craft a winning campaign have already signed up with one of the present candidates. A late starter consequently would be hard- pressed to throw together an effective organization. That goes double for fund raising, which has become critical in an era when the winning candidate is often the one who can afford to buy the most TV time. Proportional representation cuts two ways: it could keep a late starter from winning the lion's share of the delegates...
Enter the "mandate scenario," which may be the only option open to a late starter. To go this route, a candidate would contest several primaries in different regions to prove his vote-getting ability. Most frequently mentioned are California (with a March 19 filing deadline), and Alabama, Minnesota and New Jersey, which have April drop-dead dates. Since securing the nomination this late would be mathematically impossible, the mandate scenario counts on the trailing candidates to cave in to the heavyweight for the good of the party under pressure from Democratic leaders, financial big shots and the media. Goofy, perhaps...