Word: stock-market
(lookup in dictionary)
(lookup stats)
Dates: all
Sort By: most recent first
(reverse)
Emboldened by this work, economists began to apply their number-crunching skills to the postwar market. Chicago graduate student Harry Markowitz devised a model for picking stocks that was, in Friedman's estimation, "identical" to his artillery-shell-fragmentation trade-off. And in the late 1950s, scholars at Chicago and the Massachusetts Institute of Technology became enamored of the idea that stock-market movements were, like many physical phenomena, random...
...rational-market establishment. Shiller declared in 1984 that the logical leap from observing that markets were unpredictable to concluding that prices were right was "one of the most remarkable errors in the history of economic thought." Summers described how financial markets were often dominated by "idiots" (he later dubbed them "noise traders" and co-authored a series of academic papers showing how their errors could move prices) and lamented at the 1984 meeting of the American Finance Association that "virtually no mainstream research in the field of finance in the past decade has attempted to account for the stock-market...
...that a collapse of the U.S. banking system seems unlikely, stock-market watchers have found a new thing to worry about: rising interest rates. The yield on the government's 10-year Treasury bond is up 65% this year to a recent 3.83%. Says top Wall Street strategist Edward Yardeni, "If bond yields get up to 4.5%, so not much higher than they are now, I think we would see a real decline in mortgage refinancing, which would threaten the viability of the economic recovery." (Read "Economic Recovery: Will Corporate Profits Recoup...
Still, it is likely to be a while before we hit that new normal. Rosenberg points out that during the Great Depression, the worst of GDP contraction and stock-market losses had hit by the early 1930s. And yet the malaise carried on for the rest of the decade. Unemployment hung above 15%, and people didn't spend money. "Even people who had the means didn't go on buying sprees. That's not how they lived," says Rosenberg. We may now be in for some of the same...
...unit (TEU) container on an East Asia-to-Europe voyage is reportedly currently maxing out at a paltry $500. Though the pace of the drop in rates has slowed, there are signs that charter prices have still not bottomed out, having dipped below the record lows of the 2002 stock-market crunch. According to London ship broker Clarkson, a 3,500-TEU gearless Panamax vessel - the largest vessel that can go through the Panama Canal - pulls in $6,500 a day, down 34% on the $9,500 it was charging in February...