Word: stocked
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...growing chorus of market watchers says no. The concern is that the stock market is overwrought and that down is the only sensible direction to head. Sure, individual companies have been quick to bounce lower based on bad news. Both insurance outfits and financial firms lost ground on Tuesday thanks to two big events - the passage of a health-reform bill by a key Senate committee and a Goldman Sachs downgrade by an influential banks analyst. (Read "How to Know When the Economy Is Turning...
...More broadly, though, some strategists are seeing signs that stock values are inflated and due for a "correction," that lovely Wall Street euphemism for falling prices...
...more inside-baseball indication of being on shaky ground is the fact that even on days when stock prices are rising, few people are trading, making for some fairly thin rallies. "Sellers have entered the market but buyers have stepped away," says Mary Ann Bartels, head of U.S. technical and market analysis at Bank of America/Merrill Lynch. "When that happens, we have to question the sustainability of the rally." (See which businesses are bucking the recession...
...Another reason to think higher stock prices aren't necessarily in the offing: history. Since the market hit a low in March, it has fairly consistently marched higher, occasionally falling back, but rarely by more than a few percentage points at a time. The last time the market has had such a run without a correction of 10% or more was 1933, says Bartels. Momentum, pleasant though it may be, tends not to last for such long stretches...
...talk about when the market will take its next stumble, but that's probably not the main argument a person should use in deciding whether or not to buy a particular stock...