Word: stocked
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What are seasonal stock-market patterns pointing toward? Right now investors have a tremendous amount of doubt with respect to the stock market. With the economy just coming out of recession and stocks up more than 40% from the lows, people are thinking, 'It's gotta correct, it's gotta correct.' But historically, it doesn't have to correct, and that's what these seasonal patterns show - following big runs in the summertime, the stock market does not, on average, turn negative in the fall...
...traditionally September is known for being a lousy month for stocks, right? We've experienced in the last 25 to 30 years pretty sizable corrections in the fall, whether it's September or October. We saw it in 1929, but more recently in 1987, and in '97 and '98 as well. Even when there's not a big sell-off, it's not a good month. In fact, since 1942, September has been the most negative month in the stock-market year, exhibiting on average a 0.5% negative return. That's the seasonal pattern most people think of when heading...
...this summer the stock market has rallied. Precisely, and that goes against the seasonal pattern that has been in effect. If you go back and look at other times when that has happened in the last 15 years - a positive stock market during the summer - the results show that the stock market also has a positive September and keeps strengthening throughout the rest of the year. (Read "Bernie Madoff's Other Legacy...
Japan's lost decade is stretching into decades. It has been almost 20 years since the bursting of a mammoth property and stock bubble plunged the country into an economic deep freeze. Japan's leaders have been wandering in the wilderness ever since, unable to find a formula for growth to replace the model that was found wanting years ago. (See the new activism of Japan's youth...
...Blankfein has recalibrated, in very large numbers, its place as Wall Street's most astute, most opaque and most influential firm. In the first and second quarters of 2009, the company earned $5.3 billion in net income, the most profitable six-month stretch in Goldman's history. Goldman's stock has more than tripled since its low last November, to more than $160 per share...