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...Historical Parallels We tend to think of the Depression as having been triggered by the stock-market crash of 1929. The Wall Street crash is conventionally said to have begun on "Black Thursday" - Oct. 24, 1929, when the Dow Jones industrial average declined 2% - though in fact the market had been slipping since early September. On "Black Monday" (Oct. 28), it plunged 13%, the next day a further 12%. Over the next three years, the U.S. stock market declined a staggering 89%, reaching its nadir in July 1932. The index did not regain its 1929 peak until...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The End of Prosperity? | 10/2/2008 | See Source »

...Sept. 29 of this year, as investors and traders reacted to Congress's rejection of the bailout plan presented by Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson, the stock market sell-off was dramatic: the Dow fell nearly 7% that day, a one-day drop that has been matched only 17 times since the index's birth in 1896. From its peak last October, the Dow has fallen more than...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The End of Prosperity? | 10/2/2008 | See Source »

...underlying cause of the Great Depression - as Milton Friedman and Anna Jacobson Schwartz argued in their seminal book A Monetary History of the United States: 1867-1960, published in 1963 - was not the stock-market crash but a "great contraction" of credit due to an epidemic of bank failures...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The End of Prosperity? | 10/2/2008 | See Source »

...credit crunch had surfaced several months before the stock-market crash, when commercial banks with combined deposits of more than $80 million suspended payments. It reached critical mass in late 1930, when 608 banks failed - among them the Bank of the United States, which accounted for about a third of the total deposits lost. (The failure of merger talks that might have saved the bank was another critical moment in the history of the Depression...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The End of Prosperity? | 10/2/2008 | See Source »

...What's more, this is no longer an exclusively American crisis. European banks are going under as well. Growth rates in the euro zone and Japan have fallen further than in the U.S. Emerging markets too are suffering. With the exception of Brazil, stock markets in the BRIC economies (Brazil, Russia, India and China) are now down about 40% or more on the year...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The End of Prosperity? | 10/2/2008 | See Source »

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