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...question is not as absurd as it may seem. Hosting the Olympics can boost the profits of host-city construction companies and tourism-related companies such as hoteliers. But is there a correlation between overall stock-market and economic performance and the Olympics? We decided to do a little historical research by examining stock-market indexes and GDP growth for the host nations for the past eight summer Olympics, excluding the stock market-less U.S.S.R. in 1980. What we discovered was interesting but inconclusive. On average, markets in host countries showed a 16.3% gain in their Olympics year...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Fool's Gold | 4/17/2008 | See Source »

...comfort those burned by China shares, but our survey showed that markets in seven out of the eight countries posted gains during the year after the Olympics. (The big loser was Germany, where stocks fell 26%, while South Korea gained less than 1%). "Hopefully at some point this year, there will be an upswing in the [China] markets," said Paul Cavey, a China analyst with Macquarie Research. "What's needed is only a turn in sentiment." But that's dependent upon factors such as an easing of China's inflation rate, not on China's success in track and field...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Fool's Gold | 4/17/2008 | See Source »

...already be so well diversified that you need not make many adjustments. A disciplined investment approach through good times and bad is ever the best policy. Trying to time the stock market is especially futile. In the 20 years through 2006, the Standard & Poor's 500 returned an average annual 11.8%, but the typical stock-fund investor earned only 4.3%, according to a study by research firm Dalbar. Fund fees play a role in that gap. But investors' errant attempts to move in and out of stocks at lows and highs are mostly to blame...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Surviving Market Mayhem | 4/17/2008 | See Source »

...starts small and usually shares the risk. When he wins, he wins big. Branson's initial $10 million investment in Virgin Blue, for example, earned him a payoff of an estimated $500 million when the company went public, although the stock has since declined. When he fails, he always has an exit strategy. "If it doesn't work, we'll bow out gracefully," he says of Virgin America, where his total investment is $72 million. He put $25 million into Virgin Nigeria, but problems with the Nigerian government contributed to $82 million in losses last year, considerably reducing the profits...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Richard Branson's Flight Plan | 4/17/2008 | See Source »

...cost center and not a source of value creation," says Alex Edmans, a finance professor at University of Pennsylvania's Wharton School who has studied engagement. In one paper, Edmans looked at Fortune's list of the 100 Best Companies to Work For and found that those firms' stock price from 1998 to 2005 rose an average 14% per year, as compared with 6% for the market overall. Edmans considers that pretty strong evidence. But there is always a chance that something else--say, good management--is causing both engagement and performance to rise. The consultants aren't done...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: The Rage to Engage | 4/17/2008 | See Source »

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