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...reaction on Wall Street was swift and brutal. Merck's chief executive Ray Gilmartin announced that the company's 2004 earnings could shrink as much as 20%. Its stock promptly lost $28 billion of its market value, temporarily dragging the Dow Jones industrial average down with it. The timing could not have been worse for Merck, whose sales last year grew a paltry 5%, compared with 23% in 2000, and whose big anticholesterol drug Zocor will lose patent protection in 2006, with nothing to replace it. Some analysts wondered whether the company was ripe for a merger--an idea Merck...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: A Painful Mistake | 10/11/2004 | See Source »

WHEN BRITISH AUTHORITIES broke up a cell of suspected Islamic terrorists in August, the arrests sent reverberations across the Atlantic. Among the evidence found with the suspects were reconnaissance reports on major U.S. financial sites--including the New York Stock Exchange and the World Bank in Washington...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: London's Dirty-Bomb Plot | 10/11/2004 | See Source »

...trying to divine the economic future and determine how best to prepare. Is the economy poised to heat up? Raise interest rates. Is it likely to cool down? Cut them a quarter-point. During his tenure, a period that has stretched over four Presidents and assorted stock-market rises and falls, Greenspan has commanded dozens of interest-rate adjustments. For tens of millions of Americans--investors, traders, homeowners--fortunes big and small have been made or lost depending on his judgments about the future...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Forecasting: The Money Man: ALAN GREENSPAN'S CRYSTAL BALL | 10/11/2004 | See Source »

Greenspan, a former jazz musician (he played clarinet and sax) and a disciple of free-market philosopher Ayn Rand, frequently confronts such agonizing choices. As the Clinton era drew to a close, he correctly foresaw the brewing bubble in high-tech stocks. He searched for a way to alert investors, famously referring to an "irrational exuberance" building up in the stock market. But he refused to say more, believing a sudden collapse in share prices would carry more risk than allowing the market to discover the bubble itself. The high-tech balloon continued to inflate for several years after...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Forecasting: The Money Man: ALAN GREENSPAN'S CRYSTAL BALL | 10/11/2004 | See Source »

...Palmolive's toothpaste business, anchored in the eponymous brand, is losing market share. Though still the category leader in the U.S. and globally, Colgate has seen U.S. share slip, from 35.3% at the beginning of 2003 to 33.3% during the second quarter of this year, according to Smith Barney stock research. In September, Colgate said its second-half profits would be lower than expected, in part because it was stepping up its own ad spending. P&G has a heck of a head start. The company spent $202 million on toothpaste advertising last year in the U.S., a 76% increase...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: BRIEFING: Down 'n' Dental | 10/11/2004 | See Source »

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