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...debt, China's excesses and commercial real estate the world over, veteran global investor Barton Biggs says the global recovery now unfolding is going to be powerful. Biggs, who heads New York hedge fund Traxis Partners, spoke with TIME contributing editor John Curran on the outlook for world stock markets. (See 25 people to blame for the financial crisis...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why an Investment Guru Is Bullish on Recovery | 8/13/2009 | See Source »

...stock market is up nearly 50%. Many bulls say there are hundreds of billions of dollars sitting on the sidelines that will come in, pushing the market higher. Do you agree? We've been through a secular bear market that really began in 2000. Adjusted for inflation, the S&P 500 is down 65% since then. We've been through the worst 10-year period of stock returns on the S&P in the history of American equities. But I think we saw the bottom of the secular bear market [at the March lows]. My view is that the money...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why an Investment Guru Is Bullish on Recovery | 8/13/2009 | See Source »

Sort of like the '60s and '70s, when the stock market really went nowhere. Is that what we might be headed for longer term? Yes, exactly. That bull market really peaked in 1965 or 1966 and then it churned back and forth - and inflation ravaged it, even though the nominal prices didn't collapse as much. But the Dow Jones average didn't set a new high until...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why an Investment Guru Is Bullish on Recovery | 8/13/2009 | See Source »

...China is the mother of all emerging markets. Do you see its stock market on a boom-bust trajectory, or is this the dawn of a major bull market, akin to 1982 in the U.S.? I would characterize it as being more similar to the U.S. in 1982. And China is still cheap. It isn't as cheap as it was four months ago, but that was the bottom of a long-term bear market, so I still think it looks really good...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Why an Investment Guru Is Bullish on Recovery | 8/13/2009 | See Source »

...North buys Chinese chocolate, strips off the wrappers and re-packages it with North Korean labels. But Chinese chocolate is pretty bad. They wanted European chocolate know-how to make something that would impress the South. They were not looking to sell millions of chocolates, just enough to stock a few gift shops...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Journey to North Korea, Part III: NoKo Chocolate Factory | 8/12/2009 | See Source »

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