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...this month and once envisioned for 20 states, is playing in only 10. Dropped for now from the ad buy are such states as Colorado, Arkansas, North Carolina, Virginia and Missouri, all once thought to be competitive for Kerry but now widely regarded as out of reach. Kerry senior strategist Tad Devine disputed the Electoral College triage in a chat with TIME, noting that Kerry had been in North Carolina and Louisiana as recently as last week. Republicans dismissed those visits as track covering. One claimed that perhaps no more than six or seven states were up for grabs...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Campaign '04: Coolness Under Fire | 9/20/2004 | See Source »

...Russia and Venezuela and by terrorist attacks in Iraq?energy experts predict that oil is unlikely to fall to less than $30 per barrel and will probably remain substantially higher. Prices "are going to start with a 3 or a 4 for some time," warns Spencer White, chief Asia strategist for Merrill Lynch...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Crude Awakenings | 9/6/2004 | See Source »

...With luck, relief might be on the way. White, the Asia strategist for Merrill Lynch, expects crude to fall to about $35 per barrel, easing the pressure on regional economies. He sees Asia's GDP growth contracting from about 7% this year to just under 6% in 2005?still an eminently respectable performance. But in a world kept constantly on edge by terrorism, the threat of a price shock triggered by a spectacular attack on energy infrastructure or by further instability in the Middle East can't be dismissed. Says the foreign executive at the Guangdong power plant...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Crude Awakenings | 9/6/2004 | See Source »

JAMES CARVILLE normally pays his bills by fighting with big kids--like Tucker Carlson. But with his new children's book, Lu and the Swamp Ghost, the Democratic strategist targets a younger demo. The tale is based on a story from his mother's childhood. "A tramp hung out on the bayou behind her house," says the Cajun pundit. "She befriended this guy, and would give him foodstuffs. It's a story about the difference between riches and [monetary] wealth." We're pretty sure even Carlson couldn't argue with that...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Carville for Tykes | 9/6/2004 | See Source »

From drugs to financials, the stock market is trying to anticipate who will win the White House this fall. Sorting it all out is a TIME panel moderated by senior writer DANIEL KADLEC and including Richard Bernstein, chief U.S. strategist at Merrill Lynch, Gregory Valliere, chief political strategist at Schwab Soundview Capital Markets, and Thomas Gallagher, chief political analyst at ISI Group...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Investing: The Payoff In November | 9/6/2004 | See Source »

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