Word: strongly
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...market's rise and the dollar's fall? I'm optimistic on the market. I think the economy has caught a huge break with low interest rates, which are really going to make a difference. While the weaker dollar is obviously a concern, it's helping exports to remain strong. At the end of the day, though, it's low interest rates that matter more to the stock market.(See the top 10 scared stock traders...
...this rally just reflecting the government's huge stimulus? The recovery in the stock market is really a function of the fact that corporate profits continue to be pretty strong, and that's because there is low wage pressure and, overall, companies have done a pretty good job of running efficiently...
What do you make of the fact that bonds have rallied, a bet on deflation, while commodities have also rallied, a bet on inflation? There's still a lot of risk aversion among investors, which is why the bond market is so strong. In other words, if you are fearful of stocks, you're just going to stay in the fixed-income market. But we are in a low-yield environment now, so those same investors - individuals and investment managers - are reaching out for riskier assets to get more yield. That's why you see things like junk bonds rallying...
Where do you see market vulnerabilities? Near term, I don't think you're going to see much change. I think you'll see both fixed-income and commodities markets continue to be strong...
What's the outlook for commodities like gold? Risk aversion will continue, and that means continued interest in commodities. Gold will be strong but, interestingly, not because of inflation but because as the dollar gets weaker, people want someplace safe to put their money, and right now they view gold as more stable than the dollar.(Read "How to Know When the Economy Is Turning...