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Four political experts gathered on Friday at the Center for American Political Studies to probe the dynamics of the imminent presidential election. The panel discussion, moderated by government professor Stephen D. Ansolabehere, featured D. Sunshine Hillygus, also a government professor and the director of the Program on Survey Research; Columbia Graduate School of Journalism professor Thomas B. Edsall; and Morris P. Fiorina, a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution and political science professor at Stanford. Ansolabehere began with a discussion on campaign finance and the parallel contests of the presidential and congressional elections, stressing the tough decision facing the Republican...

Author: By Weiqi Zhang, CONTRIBUTING WRITER | Title: CAPS Panel Profs Analyse Elections | 10/13/2008 | See Source »

...recent time polls - a national survey and a sample of battleground states, including Missouri - support the notion that a sour and deteriorating economy is helping Obama close the deal with white America. The Wall Street crisis has driven Bush's approval ratings to new depths, and McCain, at the helm of Bush's gop, is struggling to escape the undertow. Nearly two-thirds of the 1,098 people sampled in the national poll said they personally are going backward economically. Among these anxious voters, Obama had opened a huge lead - some 25 percentage points - over McCain. Obama appears...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: For White Working Class, Obama Rises on Empty Wallets | 10/12/2008 | See Source »

...overwhelmingly - by more than 9 to 1 - they said Obama's race won't be a factor in how they vote. Even among black voters, only 1 in 6 said they would take Obama's race into account. Still, the question hovers over the campaign. A controversial recent survey by the Associated Press pushed white participants to react to a list of negative racial stereotypes. One-third of them put credence in at least one of the unpleasant generalizations about blacks. After some complicated statistical legerdemain, the AP concluded that race could cost Obama up to 6 percentage points...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: For White Working Class, Obama Rises on Empty Wallets | 10/12/2008 | See Source »

...semblance of normalcy, there is still the larger issue: for states and cities, as with the rest of America, the credit crisis has tumbled into the real economy. Before the long-simmering credit crunch kicked into high gear in mid-September, municipalities were already facing strong headwinds. In a survey of 319 city finance officers conducted from April to June, the National League of Cities found that 64% of respondents said their cities were less able to meet fiscal needs than in 2007. Cities get 28% of their funding from property taxes, which the finance officers surveyed expected...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: States and Cities Grapple with the Credit Crunch | 10/9/2008 | See Source »

...their destinations, believing that the End Times were imminent). In some regions like South America, Pentecostals are part of the most liberal political movements. In general, white Pentecostals tend to be mostly politically conservative and concerned with social issues. But a 2006 Pew Forum on Religion and Public Life Survey found that they are more likely than other Evangelicals to support active government, a position that reflects their lower income status. Nearly 20% of American Pentecostals are Latino, and they make up a rapidly growing constituency in the U.S. that supported George W. Bush in 2004 but is shifting over...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Does Sarah Palin Have a Pentecostal Problem? | 10/9/2008 | See Source »

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