Word: surveys
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Chernova certainly isn't alone. Spooked by the biggest economic crisis in decades, Americans are making fewer trips to supermarkets, and many are leaving comparatively upscale grocers like Albertsons and Whole Foods in search of lower prices. According to a survey conducted last spring by TNS Retail Forward, a market-research and consulting firm based in Columbus, Ohio, 20% of respondents said they had changed which stores they go to for groceries and other household items, primarily because of the economic climate...
...issues. But in 2010, Republican Lisa Murkowski will be up for re-election. Palin's broad popularity in Alaska (her approval rating at home is still in the 60s despite her turbulent autumn) wouldn't change the fact that Murkowski, whose approval rating was 63% in a March survey, would be a formidable opponent. "Palin would have a hard time winning" the GOP primary, says Gregg Erickson, editor at large for the Alaska Budget Report. Don Mitchell, a Democratic attorney and historian, calls Palin an instinctive politician whose talents rival Ronald Reagan's, and he thinks she could beat Murkowski...
...less certain about the election results, also highlighted the importance of the youth vote. “The outcome in my view depends on the turnout of voters 18-29 years of age,” he said. Fortunately for Vilsack, The Crimson’s Election Survey found that nearly 80 percent of Harvard students said they planned to vote for Obama today. But some Harvard experts said Obama might win by a narrower margin than current polls are predicting. Jeffrey A. Frankel, an economics professor at the Kennedy School, said he believes Americans will overcome the issues...
Theoretically, interviewers are supposed to stop voters at random - choosing, for example, every ninth voter to survey. But that is easier said than done when you are standing outside a crowded polling place desperately searching for a friendly face...
...Obamania? Evidence that Palin has inspired the base? Frustration at the economy (not as bad in Texas)? Or signs of a Democratic resurgence deep down the ballot over local issues like toll roads and education? Texans tend to describe themselves as conservative (48%) or moderate, according to a recent survey by the Texas Political Project, and have a rosier view of the Texas economy than the national one. Against that background, analyzing the turnout numbers is made even more tricky in a state with no party registration. Voters only "declare" their party when they vote in the primaries and this...