Word: swinging
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...handful of polls that show Obama's lead down to 4-6 percentage points (though others still show Obama up by double digits), McCain and his surrogates have stumped furiously in Pennsylvania. The main energy has been in Philadelphia and the close-in suburbs, which are almost certain to swing for Obama, but are important mathematically. If Obama wins here by a blowout, it will cancel out any gains by McCain in the west and central area. If McCain can hold Obama's margins here down, however, he has a slight chance of picking up enough votes elsewhere to carry...
Missouri: Will Young Voters Stage a Surprise?7:00 a.m. E.T. How close is Missouri? One last-minute GOP poll of 800 likely voters found a 400 to 400 split. Political veterans in this perennial swing state are predicting a long night and potential chaos at the polls. "We could all be blowing smoke rings and wake up to a blowout, but my sense is it's going down to the wire," says Republican consultant Paul Zemitzsch of St. Louis...
John McCain's Florida campaign director, Arlene DiBenigno, just got an election-day boost from Havana. To win the nation's largest swing state, it's imperative that McCain hold on to South Florida's Cuban-American votes, which usually swing strongly Republican but which Democrats believe they can divide this year. Those voters may have gotten an added impetus to go for McCain a few hours ago when Fidel Castro, Cuba's ailing ex-President and scourge of the Miami exile community, voiced praise for (but didn't outright endorse) Obama: "Without a doubt," Castro wrote this morning...
...changing Little Havana's politics. A half-century after Fidel Castro took power in Cuba, younger and more moderate Cuban-Americans are coming to the fore in Miami - and their votes could be critical to whether or not Obama upsets McCain in Florida, the nation's largest swing state. One of the young volunteers waiting to transport elderly Obama voters is Hector Martinez, 21, a film major at Miami-Dade College who feels an uncanny bond with Obama...
...quarantine or no quarantine, news outlets still remember Florida in 2000; if swing-state races appear tight when the last polls close, odds are the media will be cagier about releasing early results - no matter how good the data look...