Word: swings
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TIME/CNN Poll. Taking stock of the swing states...
...away from Obama by as much as 20 points. For months, McCain badly trailed in this group--a warning sign, since George W. Bush won among white women in 2004. But a new CNN/TIME/Opinion Research poll reveals McCain has opened up double-digit leads among this group in the swing states of Virginia, Missouri and Michigan. Charollet Schworer, a retired third-grade teacher from Kentucky who voted twice for Bill Clinton, traveled to Lebanon, Ohio, in a Windbreaker patterned with the American flag. "I sat there, tears rolling down my face, watching my TV," she says of Palin's speech...
While Obama's campaign seemed bewitched and bewildered about how to cope with Palin's appeal and McCain's resurgence, Republicans barely had time to gloat. Volunteers at gop offices have increased fivefold in several swing states. In the first 12 hours after Palin was selected, $4.4 million in donations poured in, contributing to a $10 million infusion over a holiday weekend that ended with Hurricane Gustav. "We had to bring in a few new servers," says a McCain adviser. (Palin's been good for the Democrats, too: the Obama campaign claimed $10 million in donations within 24 hours after...
...McCain has reason to focus on these female voters. Going into the convention, surveys showed he was not bringing them aboard in the numbers he needed, particularly in the swing states that he must win in November. Pre-convention polls by Quinnipiac University, for instance, showed McCain with a huge "gender gap" in states like Ohio, Minnesota and Wisconsin, where his support among white women trailed his numbers among men by 20 percentage points, and in Colorado, where the spread was 30 points...
...White women are always a key demographic in close races. Classic swing voters, they tend to be more pragmatic than partisan and usually make up their minds late in the race. The ones who matter most, however, are not necessarily the same in each presidential election. In 1996 they were the "soccer moms" who responded to Bill Clinton's small-bore initiatives and rescued his presidency. The white female vote was crucial to George W. Bush's victory in 2004, a year that was marked by the post-9/11 political emergence of the so-called security mom - a term...