Word: tilford
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...threaten countries now? Simon Tilford, chief economist at the London-based Centre for European Reform, says any attempt to stick with the pact through the global economic crisis could unleash a political crisis. "Against a backdrop of recession or economic stagnation, painful spending cuts would be extremely difficult for any government to sell to voters," he says, questioning whether such reductions would even succeed. "Drastic cuts in spending or [raising] tax risks deepening the recession, which would in itself prevent an improvement in the fiscal position...
...this climate, many people resent seeing billions of tax dollars leak outside the country. But if this 'buy American' clause is adopted, it will make it harder for those in Europe in arguing for markets to stay open," says Simon Tilford, chief economist at the London-based Centre for European Reform (CER) think tank. "Also, after Europe's huge expectations for Obama, there is bound to be a huge disillusion with him if the U.S. goes down this road...
...Europe is to persuade the U.S. and emerging economic powers like China and India to take similar action, it has to back up its rhetoric with action," says Simon Tilford, chief economist at the London-based Centre for European Reform. "If the E.U. retreats from its leading position on climate policy, it will surrender its first-mover advantage and, with it, the chance to make European firms leaders in key environmental technologies...
...even if the E.U. can still honor the spirit of its climate change commitments, they might have to be scaled down, according to Simon Tilford, chief economist at the London-based Centre for European Reform (CER). "It was always going to be tough, but it is now much, much harder," he says. "It would be too pessimistic to say the whole agenda will be derailed. But it is difficult to see how it can be kept on track in its current form...
Herbert Wiser, an EPA science adviser, called the findings no more than "mildly suggestive." One problem, added Shelby Tilford, NASA'S chief of atmospheric processes, is that the amount of ozone may fluctuate with variations in the sun's ultraviolet radiation. To help settle the argument, Harvard's James G. Anderson plans to launch a huge balloon, 450 ft. in girth, in New Mexico next fall. Equipped with a battery of sensitive devices, its gondola will move up and down like a yo-yo through the upper atmosphere, between altitudes of 12 miles and 25 miles...