Word: timorous
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...that she believes more strongly in nationalism than in federalism, which was what Wahid was advocating. Wahid, in his own feeble way, was restraining the army from going in to the breakaway provinces and and committing the sorts of human rights abuses we saw last year in East Timor. I think Megawati is going to give the army a free rein to go in and crush the separatist uprisings in Aceh and Irian Jaya...
...Presumably after East Timor, there will be a higher level of international scrutiny of Indonesia's responses to separatist movements, and pressure for restraint. At the same time, Indonesia desperately needs economic assistance from the West. Could there be a tension between her economic objectives and her nationalist objectives...
...Okinawa, which makes Asia, not Europe, the likely place for employing new military technologies?like pilotless planes or weapons platforms positioned "over the horizon." Since Washington's last thoroughgoing review of its defense policy, its relationship with key allies in Asia has also expanded. Australia showed in East Timor it was prepared to deploy its first-class armed forces in pursuit of regional security; expect Washington to deepen its security ties with Canberra...
...ignored. In foreign policy, unsanctioned cyberwars like the U.S.-China dustup are increasingly common during times of international tension. In 1999, hackers in China and Taiwan exchanged cyberfire over then President Lee Teng-hui's claim of statehood, as did Indonesian nationalists and supporters of independence for East Timor. During the Kosovo campaign that year, Chinese, Yugoslav and Russian hackers joined forces against NATO. Independent American hackers brought down the Yugoslav state site, though that unwittingly undermined NATO's strategy of trying to fight Serbian propaganda by bombing conventional state-run media while leaving the local Internet infrastructure intact...
...After beating Megawati out for the top spot, Wahid had been canny enough to offer her the Vice Presidency as consolation two years ago. But while his equivocation on dealing with secessionist rebellions - and his decision to bow to Western pressure and decolonize East Timor - angered the generals, Megawati made common cause with them as heiress to the nationalist mantle of her father, Sukarno, who had been Indonesia's first president. Last week, Wahid sought to head off his ouster by offering to transfer most of his authority to Megawati, but the Vice President and her backers appear to have...