Word: trough
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Dates: during 2000-2009
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...investors overreact when they jumped into the sector last March and drove REIT prices up 97% from that trough? Not exactly. REIT valuations were extremely cheap, as the sector had lost 73% of its value from its peak in February 2007. "REITs were priced in the first quarter like they were going bankrupt," says Robert W. Baird & Co. director David AuBuchon. (Read "Commercial Real Estate - the Economy's Anvil...
...this triggered a flurry of dedicated mutual funds, value managers, ETFs and hedge funds to move into the sector in a big way, notes Bilerman. Although the FTSE NAREIT All REIT Index surged 97.6% from the group's trough on March 6, it's still off 50% from its peak in February 2007, according to the NAREIT. So investors are willing to pay up for REITs based on their longer-term outlooks and potential windfall in the distressed real estate market, says Bohjalian. REITs touted as likely buyers in the distressed market are Simon Property Group, Vornado Realty Trust, Boston...
Homebuilding stocks have been on a tear, climbing 168% on average from their trough in March, outpacing the S&P 500's 57% rise during the same period, says Barclays Capital analyst Megan Talbott McGrath, who tracks eight major builders. If Hovnanian Enterprises, whose stock has soared 645% from its trough, is excluded, builders have rallied 89% on average since March, she says...
Despite the rally, homebuilding stocks remain far off their July 2005 highs. They lost more than 80% of their value on average from July 2005 to their trough in March 2009, noted Keefe Bruyette & Woods analyst Bose George...
...Although it is counterintuitive, the best approach to reversing the falling prices of homes may be to push the housing market to a deep trough as quickly as possible. This would mean that the government would not provide any assistance for current homeowners and give no financial aid to people who might buy a residence using tax credits. The idea of a benefit of up to $15,000 for those purchasing a home has already been floated in the debates over the stimulus package. Bringing housing back to a period of "affordable" prices means the government needs to stay...