Word: truces
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...Neither side has done much to implement the "roadmap." Instead of dismantling the militant organizations that have waged the terror war, the PA leadership brokered a truce agreement under which they would refrain from attacking Israel in exchange for prisoner releases and other concessions. Yasser Arafat remained very much in charge of the PA despite U.S. efforts to sideline him. And Israel confined itself to mostly token gestures in respect of settlement outposts, reversible military withdrawals from a couple of Palestinian areas and the release of a couple of hundred of the 6,000 Palestinian militants currently in Israeli prisons...
...news from Iraq this week wasn't bad enough for the Bush Administration, by Friday the President's Middle East peace "roadmap" appeared to be on the verge of collapse. Hamas and Islamic Jihad stated the obvious the previous day in announcing that their truce with Israel is dead, and with it may go the government of Mahmoud Abbas. The Palestinian prime minister has been reduced to an impotent spectator by the resumption of hostilities - a terror attack on a bus in Jerusalem that killed 20 Israelis, followed by the assassination of a senior Hamas leader, with both sides vowing...
...Administration's "roadmap," but only because implementation of the "roadmap" hadn't really begun - most of the reciprocal gestures of recent weeks were not scripted by the "roadmap," but were made to calm the situation and create conditions for its implementation. Most important among these steps was the "hudna" truce brokered among Palestinian organizations by Abbas, which made last month the most tranquil since the beginning of the armed intifada in September 2000. The "roadmap" requires, as Israel insisted, that Abbas disarm and dismantle the militant groups, but the Palestinian prime minister warned that he had neither the political support...
...fighters wildly trading fire on the capital's streets may have rendered the peacekeeping mission far more difficult. It's one thing putting troops in between two armies that have agreed on a cease-fire; quite another when their job is to fight their way in and impose a truce on both - and to do so as the city's food and drinking water supplies dwindle and cholera becomes a real threat. The most immediate cause cited by West African leaders for the delay in getting an ECOWAS force onto the ground may be financial. The Nigerians claim their peacekeeping...
...hard to see that in both instances, such agreements may actually work at cross-purposes to the "roadmap" plan: The Palestinian militant groups are hardly likely to maintain a truce with the Palestinian Authority if it launches a drive to disarm and dismantle them; and if Sharon is claiming Bush's backing for his own interpretation of the settlement issue (and the White House has yet to contradict him), then the credibility of the "roadmap" itself is at stake...