Word: turnout
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...What's more, Plouffe added, the McCain campaign has yet to show any signs that it can match the organizational strength of the Obama campaign - or, for that matter, the muscle that the George Bush campaign put into driving up its voter turnout in 2004. Where the Obama campaign is contacting as many as 10,000 people a night in some states, Plouffe said, "one thing we never run into out there is a John McCain field organization...
...Democrats fear that his lofty style of politics will be little match for a Republican opponent who is looking to be tougher than they had thought, and they worry that his message of hope - which has drawn crowds in the tens of thousands and inspired a record primary turnout - is not specific enough for people who are trying to figure out how to pay for their next tank of gas and hold on to their homes. And they are anxious, too, about the toll that McCain has been taking with his television ads that portray Obama as nothing more than...
...While they may raise turnout in core constituencies on both sides of national politics, the ballot initiatives may not in themselves swing Colorado's electoral vote. Says Brad Jones, managing editor of the political blog Facethestate.org, "Did George Bush carry Colorado [in 2004] because of voter initiatives? Probably...
...Obama, however, could also get a boost from a constituency less than enthusiastic about his candidacy. Hesitancy over Obama among blue-collar and union voters might be neutralized by turnout to vote against a cluster of initiatives aimed at curbing the power of Colorado's unions. Amendment 47 would let workers opt out of joining a union; Initiative 59 bans unions that have collective-bargaining agreements with the state government from donating campaign cash. Angry union leaders have vowed to kills these measures. Professor Kenneth Bickers, chair of the political science department at the University of Colorado at Boulder, predicts...
...Hubbard believes turnout will be up in November, but he thinks Coloradans will tell exit pollers it wasn't the downballot measures that brought them polls. "It's a little too soon to tell," says Hubbard, but "I think right now the thing that's going to be driving voter turnout more than anything else is the presidential election." Even more so than the prospect of a sex strike...