Word: turnout
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...After members of the Basque separatist group ETA killed a former Socialist councilman on Friday, speculation also ran high that sympathy for the victim would lead to a greater turnout for the Socialists. But of a dozen voters interviewed as they left a Madrid polling place today, none said the assassination had influenced his or her vote. José López was typical: "We've lived with this problem for 30 years," the 46-year-old contractor said. "It's not going to change anything...
...latest polls, conducted before the assassination, gave the Socialists a 4.1% lead over the Popular Party, and with voter turnout emerging as a key factor in these elections, the effect of today's killing is, in fact, hard to predict. Jose Ramon Montero, political scientist at Madrid's Autonomous University, believes the assassination "will certainly have an effect, but perhaps in a different direction than you might expect. Certainly there is a parallel with what happened in the last elections," he says, referring to the surprise ouster of the Popular Party government in the wake of the 2004 Madrid subway...
...Crist, a Republican, and Michigan Governor Jennifer Granholm, a Democrat, called upon the party to seat their delegates, saying to do otherwise would silence "the voices of 5,163,271 Americans" who voted in their primaries. In Florida, for instance, 1.75 million Democrats voted, which was the best Democratic turnout in state history. That sentiment has been echoed by Clinton supporter Florida senator Bill Nelson as well as the Clinton campaign itself, which won both crucial swing states and could pull even with, or possibly ahead of, Obama if its share of the delegates were being counted...
...that, it seems, persuaded the Spanish public to deem him the victor of this second debate, just as it had after the first, held a week earlier. Whether the governing Socialists can translate that momentum into victory in the March 9 national elections, however, will likely depend on voter turnout...
...giving the Socialists a slim 1.5-point advantage over the Popular Party. More recently, Metroscopia's poll for the liberal newspaper El País put the Socialists' lead at 4.1%. Either way, says University of Murcia political scientist Ismael Crespo, the Socialists have to hope for a high turnout. "The PP's ranks are very loyal; 80 to 85% of those who voted for them in 2004 will vote for them this time," he says. "But traditionally, about 20% of leftists abstain - they're generally disenchanted with government and only mobilize in times of crisis...