Word: turnout
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...change” was the single most important issue for them, more than half voted for Obama, compared to 19 for Clinton and 20 for Edwards. Moreover, Obama won decisively among the unprecedented 57 percent of caucus-goers who had never attended a caucus before. The record turnout in Iowa, especially among the formerly politically apathetic, shows that his campaign is already starting to achieve its aims...
...modest rise in Iowa turnout from traditional levels - say by about 20,000 or 30,000 - might have been easy to write off as merely the result of superior tactics on the part of the well-funded Obama operation. But the fact that voters flooded the caucuses, and that Obama swept just about every demographic group, speaks to something larger that is going on in the electorate, Clinton strategists now acknowledge...
...Because of the arcane rules of the Democratic caucuses, this success was self-reinforcing. All candidates were required to draw at least 15% of the vote in a given precinct; if they failed, their supporters had to line up behind their second choice. The unprecedented large turnout put the 15% mark out of reach of candidates like Sen. Joseph Biden and Sen. Christopher Dodd, and many of their backers turned to Obama...
...close reading of the numbers suggests that the youth vote was widely dispersed across the state and not concentrated in college towns, as some might have assumed. Turnout in Johnson County (home of the University of Iowa) and Story County (home of Iowa State University) was up compared to 2004, but less dramatically than in many other counties. Iowa-bred students were apparently voting at home, and the specter feared by some pundits, of an army of out-of-state students jamming campus precincts, seems to have evaporated...
...relying entirely on the youth vote," said McDonald, who believes this will be important to Obama's fortunes next Tuesday in the New Hampshire primary. There, he points out, the mid-range of the electorate, voters 30 to 60, have traditionally formed a larger slice of the turnout than in Iowa...