Word: turnout
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...misleading to call them that," says Smith, who estimates that only 8% of the New Hampshire electorate truly wanders from one party primary to the other. What's more, he says, those who don't declare a party are far less likely to show up at the polls. Typical turnout rates among undeclared voters are around 40%, compared with 70% among those who register as party members...
...Democratic side is likely to be turnout: the more Iowans who turn out tonight to take part in the lengthy Democratic caucus process, the better it is likely to be for Obama, whose campaign is pitched in part to bringing into the Democratic fold a new generation of first-time voters and independents. The Clinton campaign, on the other hand, is claiming to have secret, untapped, strength among female, senior and Asian American communities in the state...
...When the Democrats last caucused in 2004, nearly 123,000 Democrats attended. Party officials predict that turnout could top 150,000 tonight...
...Republican side, where turnout is in general expected to be lighter and the field more spread out, every vote will count. Huckabee has courted evangelical voters, home schoolers and right to lifers since entering the race a year ago. Romney has made a more traditional appeal to Iowa's economic and social conservatives, and is expected to organize as many as 7,000 members of the Mormon Church who are expected to attend the caucuses. The entire GOP field has tussled over immmigration and how to combat it in a state where the issue tops GOP voters list of concerns...
...some ways the story of Obama's victory was written in the turnout numbers. Democratic party officials said that turnout exceeded 218,000, a jump of nearly 100,000 - or nearly 80% - over 2004. A variety of precincts sites around Des Moines reported turnout two or three times the norm, with some would-be caucusers being turned away or precinct captains running out of registration forms. Obama's supporters swamped some sites...