Word: turnout
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...Turnout in primary elections and caucuses tends to be low, with polls at this early stage generally overestimating attendance. The sample included cell phone numbers, which, to the extent SRBI was able to identify them, were dialed manually...
What happens next is less clear. More than 20% of the electorate say they are undecided about whom to vote for, and disillusionment with Poland's political circus is so rampant that voter turnout is expected to be less than 50%, making the shape of the next government hard to predict. If the opposition Civic Platform wins, it will probably need a coalition partner. But given the souring of relations between the parties, no one knows which party that will be. Analysts like Piotr Kaczynski (no relation) at the independent Institute of Public Affairs in Warsaw say that Jaroslaw...
...What often distinguished Rove from other strategists was his sweeping vision. He is encyclopedic in his knowledge of the smallest details of electoral politics - of precincts and turnout models, county activists and regional issues - but he always had a broader idea about where he, and Bush, were going, and where they would take the party. As long ago as 1998, his stated project with Bush was to remake the G.O.P. into a permanent governing majority of the kind the Democratic Party enjoyed from 1932 through 1968. He would do it by winning over Latino voters and breaking the Democrats' grip...
...replied: "You mean, in the words of Chairman Mao, it's always darkest before it's totally black?" And as he left the event, McCain had one last gibe for the large press corps that had assembled as something of a death watch: "I look forward to the same turnout at every stop I make...
...think that this emerging change in mind-set, at least within significant segments of the Democratic Party, could pay tremendous dividends if the Republicans are foolish enough to nominate Rudy Giuliani," says Richard Land, the Southern Baptist Convention's political guru. While a Mitt Romney nomination might suppress evangelical turnout, he says, as long as there is a basic difference over abortion, socially conservative voters will pick the pro-life candidate. "But if you take the abortion issue off the table," Land predicts, "then a lot of these other issues get oxygen they aren't getting now, such...