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...Bush warned on Tuesday that "time is running out" for Saddam Hussein to disarm and avoid a U.S. invasion. But while the clock is ticking, there are signs that the alarm may have been reset. Where once the assumption had been that the January 27 Security Council report by UN weapons inspectors would mark a moment of decision, the Bush Administration now appears to have concurred with its allies and with the inspectors that it would not be treated as a deadline. U.S. and British officials have since the weekend stressed that the inspectors would be given time to finish...
...government and in the broader electorate over U.S. intentions. Blair insisted Monday that if allowed to proceed and escalate, the inspection process would eventually prove the case his own government and the Bush Administration have made against Saddam - and establish an incontrovertible argument, in the eyes of the UN, for military action...
...planes and by moving to question Iraqi scientists abroad. Blix flies to Baghdad on Sunday for a meeting with Iraqi leaders, where he will demand that Iraq answer specific questions on the gaps in its December declaration. So, even though Iraq appears to have passed the first hurdle, the UN weapons inspectors are clearly moving to raise the pressure on Baghdad by setting it tougher tests, restoring the premise that the onus is on Iraq to demonstrate through active cooperation that it has ended all prohibited weapons programs...
...that a crisis point is imminent, at which either the inspectors find proof of continued weapons programs, or else the Iraqis throw up a roadblock to prevent them doing so. Both scenarios set the stage for a quick military response, but, failing that, the process as defined by the UN inspectors may not reach a conclusion within the time frame necessary to launch a war that could be won before the onset of the blistering Iraqi summer...
...factor that determines the timetable of a war against Iraq. The U.S. and Britain have not allowed the vagaries of the inspection process to delay their troop deployments, and by mid-February they plan to have as many as 250,000 soldiers stationed in the region. Blix and the UN will use their presence to impress on Iraq the importance of doing the inspectors' bidding, and Arab governments will use it to make the case for Baghdad going along with an as-yet unspecified eleventh-hour diplomatic solution. Domestic political and economic concerns, the state of uncertainty in the world...