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...UN ultimatum to Saddam Hussein was a fast track to war only if the Iraqi leader had been dumb enough to make Don Rumsfeld's day. But as Arab diplomats like to point out, Saddam may be homicidal but he's not suicidal - and there were few surprises Wednesday when Iraq announced its acceptance of the Security Council's terms for new arms inspections...
...cooperation with the UN would confound U.S. war plans, it would appear to be a no-brainer for Saddam to simply give up on whatever weapons programs he currently has in the works in order to stay in power. Running an oil-rich country would give him plenty of resources to restart those programs once the heat is off. Still, there are domestic risks. Saddam's power is based his ability to paralyze potential domestic opponents with fear of the consequences of crossing him. Submitting to the will of the UN, goaded into action by Washington, signals Saddam's fundamental...
...complying with the UN resolution, Saddam could certainly make life difficult for Washington hawks set on an invasion to achieve regime change in Iraq - and strengthen the hand of those in the U.S., Europe and the Arab world opposed to war. Washington hawks are more than a little anxious at the extent to which the Bush Administration has been yoked to a UN inspection timetable that could, if Saddam avoids overt confrontation, drag matters on into next February, and even then not produce a definitive case for a UN-sanctioned war. The neo-conservative flagship Weekly Standard warns that absent...
...rolled out our swags beneath the shade of a coolibah tree and watched and waited, ravenous, while the billy boiled. This was a truly Waltzing Matilda moment except for one seemingly un-Australian note?the chime of a camel bell and the sight of its wearer extending a long, furry neck to prune the top of an acacia bush not far from our bedrolls...
...requisite forces in position. But assuming the inspectors are allowed to return and conduct their work unhindered, the Security Council is unlikely to hear from Blix before his 60-day report-back in early January. If Iraq's conduct to that point fails to meet UN requirements, the U.S. will likely push for action. Strategic analysts tend to agree that the window for launching a major ground offensive in Iraq closes in March or April, with the onset of hot weather and summer dust-storms. It reopens, again, around October. But if Iraq cooperates with UNMOVIC through Blix's first...