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...major cause of the nation's manpower problems, according to analysts in and out of uniform, is the all-volunteer force (AVF). When the AVF officially replaced the draft seven years ago this month, it was widely assumed that the new system would be better than the old. G.I.s who voluntarily signed up, it was argued, would surely be more motivated than draftees; this would naturally lead to higher morale and more re-enlistments. These and other assumptions now seem to have been much too optimistic. Said the House report: "Overall, the continued viability of the AVF remains seriously...
...problem is not raw numbers. At the end of March, the midpoint in fiscal 1980, the four services had 2,032,000 men and women volunteers in uniform, 96% of the Pentagon's objective. Even more encouraging have been the recruiting results for the first half of the fiscal year; the Pentagon achieved 99% of its goals, compared with 91% last year...
...maintain its strength, the Air Force figures that it must retain 59 of every 100 pilots and 54 of every 100 navigators after twelve years of service. Today only 27 pilots and 40 navigators per 100 trained are still in uniform at the end of this period. The airlines are hiring 2,000 pilots a year, most of them right out of military cockpits. The Air Force estimates that a pilot with twelve years of experience has received pay, allowances and training worth roughly $4 million. "Trying to replace that experience is not only very expensive, but it takes time...
...Army guidelines call for retaining about 38 of every 100 soldiers with four years' service for at least six more years; only 30 of the 100 now stay in uniform that long. The shortfall is particularly serious among technicians, weapons specialists and drill sergeants. At Fort Benning, for example, much of today's training is done by drill corporals (and even acting drill corporals); these are recruits who have just completed their own basic training...
...rigorous training. The civilian nuclear industry just gobbles them up, along with other engineering types, as fast as we can manufacture them." Example: last year the Navy had 138 nuclear-qualified petty officers with ten to 13 years of service who were eligible for reenlistment; only 36 are in uniform today. The Navy is 35% short of its needs for pilots with the rank of lieutenant; by 1982 it expects to be 46% short...