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...clerkish Abbas would last if a challenge emerged later from a more ruthless opponent. The P.L.O. chiefs fear that without Arafat, the armed gangs ruling Palestinian towns wouldn't have even the modest restraining influence "the old man," as they call him, has had over them. The resulting civil unrest could doom Palestinian aspirations for statehood. "We have to avoid anarchy, because we know the alternative is that the Israelis will come in and take over," a senior Fatah official told TIME...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Two Lions Vying to Prevail | 11/8/2004 | See Source »

...between the Hui and the Han. And in contrast with the internal document circulated to Henan officials, the Xinhua article gave a death toll of only seven. The news black-out may have had as much to do with Beijing's fear of social disorder snowballing into more widespread unrest as with ending ethnic tensions. Just in the past week, protests by thousands of disenfranchised farmers and others have unsettled the provinces of Anhui, Inner Mongolia, Sichuan and Zhejiang. Referring to the recent spate of unrest, national Public Security Minister Zhou Yongkang was quoted in the official media on Monday...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Henan's Ethnic Tensions | 11/4/2004 | See Source »

...TIME: Will the reduction in the country's huge fuel subsidies be a top priority for your government given the pressures they put on the budget during a time of rising oil prices? Are you concerned with that price hikes could set off cause violent social unrest, as they have in the past? SBY: I've asked the relevant ministers in my cabinet to conduct an analysis of the impact of fuel prices on the budget and the subsidy policy. I've also asked them to review the 2005 budget. If the high price of fuel seriously burdens the budget...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: "I have to face many fundamental issues" | 10/25/2004 | See Source »

...Violence is not a new phenomenon in the three southern provinces of Pattani, Yala and Narathiwat. In the 1970s and '80s, the region was buffeted by bouts of unrest, but those then taking up arms had independence as their goal?not jihad. By the 1990s the handful of guerrilla bands fighting for a separate state had been largely marginalized by the central government's conciliatory approach. Bangkok pumped development funds into the south, started governing through local leaders, including Muslims, and pardoned a host of insurgents. Relative calm returned, until this year. Now, say experts, what used...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Southern Front | 10/11/2004 | See Source »

...economy is still likely to grow nicely in 2004?Thaksin told TIME he thought a rate of 6.5% was achievable?but it will not reach the level of 8% he predicted at the beginning of the year. In his interview with TIME, Thaksin blamed the reduced forecast on unrest in the south along with SARS, bird flu and rising oil prices. Yet even if the other problems disappeared, the south would continue to demand his attention. Though Thai authorities have imposed martial law in the south, pledged hundreds of millions of dollars in development aid, and tried to involve local...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Southern Front | 10/11/2004 | See Source »

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