Word: v-shaped
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...tape recorders were humming on the table in front of Lawrence H. Summers as he ruminated on the intrinsic aptitude of women in science just over a year ago. Arranged in a v-shape, they pointed directly at the University president and took down his every word. But for nearly a month after the speech, the tapes remained tucked away in a drawer in Massachusetts Hall, outside the earshot of the public...
...asking again - can they keep it up? Because now that Alan Greenspan and every other economist has pronounced the economy to be pulling out of its whatever-it-was and headed back into boom times, the kind of recovery we get in 2002 - a fast-and-furious V-shape, a slow and grudging L, or worst of all, a double-dip W - depends on how much consumers can improve on their 2001 performance. And the worry is that after spending to beat the terrorists, shoppers have left themselves a very tough act to follow...
...they turn a profit, proudly tell Wall Street, and then - maybe - they start hiring back some of the people they laid off when demand dried up. No shoppers, no capital investment. No capital investment, no increase in production. No increase in production, no re-hiring. No re-hiring - no V-shape...
...like defense and security. Consumer confidence will be vulnerable to further attacks - and higher interest rates won?t help. The business cycle will be back, and the recovery will someday come - but what kind of a recovery is still an open question. You don?t want to trade a V-shape...
...inflation is still low, isn't it? The money isn't free just yet - not until Greenspan gets to maybe 2 percent. Another half-pointer to 2.5 is just a confidence move; it'll get taken back in a matter of months if we get our V-shape over the winter, and on the off chance we break through another floor he'll be glad...