Word: voters
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Dates: during 1970-1979
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...first-time voter, a blue-collar worker and as an American, I intend to take President Nixon's advice and make my first vote one of my best ever. I will vote for Senator George McGovern, next President...
With Nixon's 28-point lead, despite the fact that Democrats hold a big voter-registration advantage-the polls are once again under fire as unreliable. This sentiment surfaces repeatedly as the U.S. public quite naturally resists the notion that it can be so neatly and numerically tabbed on the basis of what a relatively few Americans (about 1,500 in the normal sample) tell the pollsters...
...polls have indeed had problems in detecting the drift of such multi-candidate contests as presidential primaries, where voter opinion is much less certain and is affected by more intangibles. But to those who object to having their opinions computerized, the discomforting truth is that the major polls have been astonishingly accurate in predicting presidential elections ever since the miscalculations of the Harry Truman upset of Thomas Dewey in 1948. Since that time, however, the largest discrepancy between the final Gallup reading, for example, and a presidential-election result was the 4.4 points by which Gallup underestimated Dwight Eisenhower...
Robert Coles, a psychiatrist who has written sympathetically of Middle America, suggests that the electorate as a whole is very much like the individual voter. "In every person," he says, "there are various contradictions and ambiguities. These shift, and in an election it is as if magnets were pulling them one way or the other." Desires for peace or better education or tax justice or income redistribution are balanced against anxieties about change, about losing what one already...
...uncertainties of Nixon's second-term economic policy, his general direction could hardly be more at variance with McGovern's. The President has been impressed by the passion of voter resentment against taxes, and he has been frightened by the parade of gigantic budget deficits that his policies have done so much to produce, even though those deficits have helped to set off the current surge in the economy. So he will give top priority to a tough hold-down in Government spending in order to trim the deficits and avoid any net increase in federal taxes. Ronald...