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...real problem is the political environment. He's a Republican in what is emerging as a Democratic year. And he's aligned with Bush in a year of Bush fatigue over the Bush economy. Emory University's Alan Abramowitz has concocted a formula that has predicted the popular vote winner in 14 of the last 15 elections; it missed in 1968 but got the razor-thin margin right. His barometer uses three criteria: the approval rating of the incumbent President, the economic growth rate and the "time-for-a-change" factor of whether the incumbent's party has controlled...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: Never Underestimate McCain, But ... | 7/22/2008 | See Source »

...rival Penthouse have been ruled obscene. Meanwhile, in Maine, the drive against pornography ran into a political roadblock. Conservative activists had proposed a referendum that would have made the selling or promotion of obscene material a criminal offense. In the highly charged debate that raged throughout the state before voting last Tuesday, supporters of the proposal argued that pornography was leading to rape and child abuse; opponents claimed that the legislation would result in widespread censorship and perhaps even book burning. With 38% of Maine's registered voters casting ballots--an uncommonly high turnout for a Maine primary--the referendum...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: CHILL FACTOR | 7/21/2008 | See Source »

...With his preacher's butter-smooth baritone and a thriving local church, Rogers, 54, made a compelling candidate. He had already served as president for a year; his election in 1979 signaled the start of the Fundamentalist surge. ''The word of God,'' says Rogers, ''is not up for a vote.'' He insists, for example, that Adam and Eve were directly created by God, and he rejects evolution, or, as he calls it, ''monkey-monology.'' Because the annual meeting's business is done in town-meeting style, the strategy for winning S.B.C. presidential elections is getting the right voters to travel...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: IT'S GOOD ENOUGH FOR THEM Fundamentalists consolidate power among Southern Baptists | 7/21/2008 | See Source »

...some limits on abortion, the Chief Justice concluded, ''I agree we should re-examine Roe.'' That narrow call on the Pennsylvania statute was part of a one-two rebuke to the Reagan Administration's support for the right-to-life movement. Two days earlier, by a 5-to-3 vote, the court restricted the Government's attempt to police the quality of medical care received by severely handicapped infants. Striking down the Administration's controversial ''Baby Doe'' regulations, the Justices ruled that the Department of Health and Human Services had no authority to pressure hospitals to treat handicapped newborns without...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: ABORTION'S SHRINKING MAJORITY | 7/21/2008 | See Source »

...manufacturer based in Carson, Calif. Nonetheless, the proposed spray tax may prove to be the lesser of two evils. The 15 city council members are also considering another measure, which would require store owners to force purchasers to fill out registration forms with every sale. The council hopes to vote on both ideas early next month...

Author: /time Magazine | Title: BUSINESS NOTES REGULATION PAY NOW, SPRAY LATER | 7/21/2008 | See Source »

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