Word: wirthlin
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Dates: during 1980-1989
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...Election Day he never went to the Oval Office, a rare departure from his schedule. He stayed in the White House's private quarters, padding around some of the time in a jogging outfit, phoning old friends and sampling the early television bulletins. His pollster Richard Wirthlin came around, and the two men looked at the figures. A sudden drop in Bush support in some spots had caused overnight concern, but then the tracking data through the day showed a solid Bush lead. He cut the photo opportunities down to a lone picture of Nancy and him watching the early...
...Dole campaign was sitting tight. At a strategy session on the Wednesday before the primary, it was decided not to use negative ads. By Saturday, Richard Wirthlin's tracking polls showed Dole going from 5 points behind to 5 points ahead, and at one juncture Wirthlin referred to Dole as "Mr. President." The Dole campaign was unable to put together a new ad in time to get it on the air over the weekend. When they wanted to use an old ad, they were told that the air slots were already filled...
...doable," says Norman Ornstein, a campaign analyst for the conservative American Enterprise Institute. "Clearly, for all his horrible problems, Dukakis remains within striking distance." Richard Wirthlin, pollster for the White House and the Republican National Committee, states flatly, "Dukakis can still win." As evidence that 10-point swings in the last weeks of a campaign can happen, he points to the 1980 election: as late as Oct. 20, Jimmy Carter and Ronald Reagan were even, but Reagan won by 9.7 points. Wirthlin, perhaps to pump up the G.O.P. troops, puts Dukakis' chances of bringing off a similar turnabout...
Meese does not rage when he hears this talk. He is watching the numbers produced by Republican Pollster Richard Wirthlin. So far the Meese issue is only a tiny blip, far below public concern about drugs and jobs. He was rumbling down Pennsylvania Avenue in his limousine last week when an aide showed him a piece of wire copy, quoting Connecticut's Republican Senator Lowell Weicker, who was traveling with Reagan on Air Force One. While saying he would wait for the McKay report before suggesting Meese should resign, Weicker snorted, "I've been battling the son of a bitch...
...results are then averaged over several days. The weekend before the primary, most tracking polls showed the race dead even. Some, most notably Gallup, gave Dole the lead by as much as 8 points. By Monday most polls detected that Bush was picking up momentum. Dole's pollster, Richard Wirthlin, found Bush gaining ground but on the basis of his weekend data still insisted the Senator would triumph. The volatility of the poll data could be a troubling sign for both candidates. It is indicative of soft, unreliable support. Bush's ultimate 10-point victory shows that a good number...