Word: yanukovych
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...BYUT party of Yuliya Tymoshenko, the former Premier fired in September 2005 by her Orange bloc rival, Victor Yushchenko, appears locked in a neck-to-neck race with the Party of Regions (PR), led by incumbent Premier Victor Yanukovych. With 68 percent of the vote counted, Tymoshenko, whose party advocates closer relations with the West, had 32.59 percent, versus 31.62 percent for Yanukovych, considered closer to Russia. Despite the difference at the moment being a mere 0.97 percent, an already triumphant Tymoshenko promised the media this morning that she would face them next time as Premier. However, as more votes...
...Ukraine and People's Defense, (OUPD) is trailing in third with some 15% of the vote. And as the results come out, the real intrigue - who will build a majority coalition and on what terms - will emerge from the back rooms into the limelight. If she squeaks by Yanukovych, Tymoshenko appears to be in a stronger position than ever to dictate terms to Yushchenko...
...over the Cabinet jobs is where the Oranges are very likely to fall apart, Nebozhenko believes. He predicts that talks between the two factions of former Orange revolutionaries, led by Tymoshenko and Yushchenko, will prove so difficult that Yushchenko will join hands in a coalition with his formal archrival, Yanukovych, sometime before the New Year...
...While the strongly nationalist Tymoshenko won't join Russia ally Yanukovych in a coalition, it's quite possible that President Yuschenko's party will agree to share power with his erstwhile presidential rival. Right now, the President is keeping his options open, having already begun the backroom horse-trading. There will also be smaller factions, such as the Communists, seeking to profit from serving as make-weights in a coalition government...
...Yushchenko-Yanukovych coalition - with Tymoshenko leading a strong parliamentary opposition - might even resolve Ukraine's ongoing political tug-of-war. Yanukovych's PR has grown into a party of big business that, all the lip service to Russia notwithstanding, wants to open up to the West, albeit not as rapidly as Yushchenko desires. Nor has Ukraine done too badly despite the political turmoil: the economy has grown at an annual rate of 7.5% in the first six months of this year (versus 5.5% the same period last year), says Alla Kovtun, a Kiev-based economist. Its currency stable, and foreign...