Word: yushchenko
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...BYUT party of Yuliya Tymoshenko, the former Premier fired in September 2005 by her Orange bloc rival, Victor Yushchenko, appears locked in a neck-to-neck race with the Party of Regions (PR), led by incumbent Premier Victor Yanukovych. With 68 percent of the vote counted, Tymoshenko, whose party advocates closer relations with the West, had 32.59 percent, versus 31.62 percent for Yanukovych, considered closer to Russia. Despite the difference at the moment being a mere 0.97 percent, an already triumphant Tymoshenko promised the media this morning that she would face them next time as Premier. However, as more votes...
...Nebozhenko believes no less a rout awaits President Yushchenko, the hero of the Orange Revolution almost three years ago. The pro-presidential alliance of Our Ukraine and People's Defense, (OUPD) is trailing in third with some 15% of the vote. And as the results come out, the real intrigue - who will build a majority coalition and on what terms - will emerge from the back rooms into the limelight. If she squeaks by Yanukovych, Tymoshenko appears to be in a stronger position than ever to dictate terms to Yushchenko...
...Orange forces, however triumphant, know that the unity they've worked so hard to restore is still fragile. Yushchenko had promised Tymoshenko the premiership on the expectation that she would win some 22% of the vote, and hoped to preserve most key Cabinet jobs for his own OUPD. But Tymoshenko's apparent success allows her to insist on appointing all the ministers herself. Yushchenko is known to be unwilling to accept that: he wants to have his own Foreign, Defense and Interior ministers...
...Premier may have to make a deal on the cabinet first before building a coalition. Fighting over the Cabinet jobs is where the Oranges are very likely to fall apart, Nebozhenko believes. He predicts that talks between the two factions of former Orange revolutionaries, led by Tymoshenko and Yushchenko, will prove so difficult that Yushchenko will join hands in a coalition with his formal archrival, Yanukovych, sometime before the New Year...
...Yushchenko-Yanukovych coalition - with Tymoshenko leading a strong parliamentary opposition - might even resolve Ukraine's ongoing political tug-of-war. Yanukovych's PR has grown into a party of big business that, all the lip service to Russia notwithstanding, wants to open up to the West, albeit not as rapidly as Yushchenko desires. Nor has Ukraine done too badly despite the political turmoil: the economy has grown at an annual rate of 7.5% in the first six months of this year (versus 5.5% the same period last year), says Alla Kovtun, a Kiev-based economist. Its currency stable, and foreign...